While the global plant-based milk market is projected to more than double, reaching USD 45.64 billion by 2035, plant-based milk dollar sales in the US fell 5% in 2024, according to Business Research Insights. This stark divergence creates a challenging environment for producers, demanding navigation of vastly different consumer landscapes.
Global plant-based food and milk markets project significant growth, with an 8.87% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2026 to 2035. Yet, recent data reveals a decline in plant-based food and milk sales and unit sales across the U.S. This tension between global optimism and domestic contraction points to deep market complexities.
Companies face a highly fragmented and regionally diverse market. A one-size-fits-all growth strategy will fail. Localized innovation and marketing are crucial for survival and success, especially as consumer loyalty wavers in key areas.
The Foundation of a Plant-Based Shift
- 500% — The increase in vegans in America, from nearly four million in 2014 to 19.6 million in 2017, according to PMC.
- Two-thirds — The proportion of US participants who reported reducing meat consumption in 2018, according to a national USA survey published by PMC.
- 5% — The decrease in meat sales in the US from 2015 to 2019, according to PMC.
- USD 3 billion — The decrease in cow’s milk sales, falling from USD 19 billion in 2013 to less than USD 16 billion in 2018, according to PMC.
These historical shifts laid a robust foundation for the plant-based movement, signaling a sustained change in consumer behavior that promised continuous market expansion for alternatives.
A Tale of Two Markets: US Contraction vs. Global Expansion
| Metric | US (2024) | Europe (2025) | Global (2026-2035 CAGR) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plant-based protein dollar sales | Down 5% | N/A | N/A |
| Plant-based protein pound sales | Down 4% | N/A | N/A |
| Plant-based food market value change | N/A | Up 5.1% (to €16.3 billion) | N/A |
| Plant-based milk market growth | Down 5% (dollar sales) | N/A | 8.87% |




